Stuff I worked on in my previous life
Heuristic Nolli Map [Site]
Harvard GSD
iRate: Random Credit Scores
poverty-action.org
Augmented Reality Game
MIT/Microsoft iCampus
Stuff I've built on my spare time
Dictoot
FlickrFinder
Implementation of CoverFlow
Cool Stuff I've built to get allowance
Prototype of a Tag Cloud
Flash Widget
Prototype of a 'My Places' FB-Application
What I'm currently loosing sleep over (2009)
I strongly believe the next big thing will come from
LBS /
AR /
Mobile Social Networks.
This belief has been shared by many for
years, yet for several reasons it still hasn't materialized;
I believe that the following issues need to be addressed for this dream to be accomplished:
- Merging the real world with the online world
Having venue pages on Brightkite and Yelp is nice, but the 'exploration' feeling one gets when browsing the web (think StumbleUpon, Digg or just following links on blogs) is missing. How are users supposed to find out about venues and thus make the whole LBS-concept work? Through a styled textfield and a search button? Through an index of Venues in zip code 02139? I believe there needs to be an underlying infrastructure that links both real and virtual world for LBS to reach its full potential. Such infrastructure would serve not only as a conceptual container for social capital linked to a particular physical location, but more importantly, it would serve as means of connecting real life locations with each other, pretty much the same way links connect HTML documents today. Without a 3d panoramic recreation of space, LBS boils down to just another styled version of a hyperlocal news aggregator. I know of a couple companies that claim to be recreating the real world online. For several years now actually. More important than how much venture capital they've raised, what really seems to matter when it comes to determining success is:- How low-cost their image capturing process is
- How good the resulting images are
- How efficient they are at capturing the indoors ( Shooting by hand VS Using some sort of Innertial Guidance System to tag panos ? )
- How viable the business model is. This I think is particularly important. One can't cover the entire country on a round of series A funding.
- A viable Business Plan
Let's revise the traditional known models so far:
- The We'll-sell-ads model: I'm not a fan of this model. It has not been proven to work for social networks thus far. To make matters worse, look at the cost of hosting/serving those panoramas alone: Assume the average panorama is 0.1MB and that one gets loaded every 15 seconds (ie 4 per minute). With the average user spending 4.5 hours per month on FB, that's 0.1MB*4*60*4.5 = 108Mb/month/user. Let's dream about taking those 250 million active users from FB and that's 250,000,000*108/1,024/1,024= 25,749.21 Terabytes per month. Good luck paying that bill Waldo.
- Charging for Membership: Enough has been said on the subject, but this may be not that bad considering there's really nothing out there in the market that allows users to walk anywhere they'd like.
- Charging Business Owners to shoot their locations: How many business people does one need to convince a business to pay for a panorama? How much time is invested? And the payoff? Forget it. This is not scalable. The value of a product gets determined by the user and the user only. Not by cluelessly asking for money, especially in a recession. Which brings me to the next model
- Free: Free is good when it comes to scaling coverage and number of users; The question becomes how does one cover the linear costs associated with covering a location ( one-time fee ) and the exponential costs associated with bandwidth/hosting. Interestingly enough it seems like the latter is in fact the answer to the question. There's a vast array of financial transactions associated with physical locations: from tourism ( book airline tickets to get there, book a car to get there, rent a night at that location ) to tickets (concert tickets) to even virtual goods. And these happen multiple times over the course of a year ;-) Will this make up for the cost of hosting/serving/shooting immersive media ?
- Mobile Platform Fragmentation
This has been getting better mostly thanks to Apple (iPhone) and Google (Android). It's not as bad as it used to, but it did drive some of the earlier mobile social networks to the grave.
I've been spending the last 15 months or so tinkering with A,B - And no, I'm not the only one who's
nuts ;-).
I dream of the day I'll be able to check out my friends' FB profile, walk around their apartments online
(assuming they have set privacy settings to grant me access ), attach a video of last night's dinner on their dinning room wall,
attach comments to their pictures frames and maybe even tag their books on their shelves for Amazon to index ( like
this ). With an underlying
infrastructure like that, cool things will be able
to break free from the HCI lab. I believe LBS / AR / Mobile Social Networks will work.
A sweet little girl I'm a bit crazy about ...
Violin Recordings